Fantasy football owners usually do a roster audit after Week 3. Given this year’s spate of big injuries, you might not have seen three games from all of your key players, but if you have, you will likely follow this rule: If there’s been more good than bad, you’re optimistic; if there’s been more bad than good, you’re worried. If your record is 0-3 or even 1-2, you might be really worried. As such, you might be looking to make a big move, but you shouldn’t be rash about our trade targets. Finding the right buy-low, sell-high candidates is important. Fantasy Pros’ Mike Tagliere is here to help with his Week 4 Stock Watch that includes notable players like Joe Mixon, Darrell Henderson, James Robinson, and Deebo Samuel.
As tough as it might be sometimes, you can’t let past performances dictate how you view players going forward. Obviously, it’s a factor, but Weeks 1-3 are in the past — you can’t change them. You have to worry about Weeks 4-13 (and hopefully beyond). That means investing in slow-starting players who are still getting ample opportunities or parting ways with your early-season breakouts who might have already peaked. Don’t consider anyone on your roster “untouchable.”
MORE FROM FANTASY PROS: Trade analyzer
As we caution every week, values can change quickly in fantasy football, so don’t get too locked in on a certain trade target. Change your thinking as the trends change, but don’t be afraid to strike if you have a good offer on the table. — Matt Lutovsky
MORE WEEK 4: Top waiver pickups
Week 4 Fantasy Football Stock Watch: Buy-low candidates
Joe Mixon (RB – CIN)
Wait, buy Mixon? You mean the guy who has 157 total yards without a touchdown through three games? Yep. He’s a three-down back who was a similar buy-low early last year and finished as a top-eight running back over the second half of the season. As teams start to respect Joe Burrow through the air, lanes will open for Mixon. If you’re able to flip someone like James Robinson for Mixon, I’d consider that a phenomenal opportunity.
Darrell Henderson (RB – LAR)
Some might be thinking it’s time to sell on Henderson with the pending return of Cam Akers (ribs), but if you’ve watched the past two weeks, Henderson has been the best running back on the team, and it hasn’t even been close. He’s running with purpose and has done well in two less-than-ideal matchups. If he continues to hold onto this job, he’s going to help win fantasy titles.
Darius Slayton (WR – NYG)
The bad news is that Slayton finished with just three catches for 53 yards in Week 3; the good news is that it allows you to swoop in and buy him cheaper than he should be. He was targeted a team-high seven times, and the matchups will get better as the weeks go on. With Sterling Shepard (toe) out maybe a month, Slayton is the clear-cut top receiver for the Giants.
For more buy-low targets from Fantasy Pros, click here.
Week 4 Fantasy Football Stock Watch: Sell-high candidates
James Robinson (RB – JAC)
Last week, I had Robinson in the “buy” section because not many realized what they had. This week, however, I’m suggesting you field offers for him. I’ve heard some suggest he’s a rock-solid RB2 for the remainder of the season, though I’m not completely sold on that. He hasn’t had to share any of the workload with both Ryquell Armstead (COVID-19 lst) and Devine Ozigbo (hamstring) out of the lineup. That will change, and while Robinson should still be the lead back, he’s not going to be worth more than he is right now. Great performances on national television will get you great return in trades.
Todd Gurley (RB – ATL)
Take advantage of Gurley’s touchdown in Week 3 and sell high. I’m not sure he’s the best running back on his team at this point, and that’s not even saying much, as Brian Hill isn’t uber-talented or anything. Gurley is only getting what’s blocked and isn’t contributing in the passing game. He’s nothing more than a touchdown-dependent low-end RB2/high-end RB3.
Deebo Samuel (WR – SF)
You should be using the imminent-return rumors to your advantage if you’ve been holding onto Samuel. There have been whispers that he’s expected to come back from his foot injury in Week 5, which is odd to say the least. If they know he won’t be ready in Week 4, then they can’t say with any certainty that he’ll be out there in Week 5. On top of that, receivers coming off foot surgeries in the same calendar year almost always end in disappointment.
For more sell-high targets from Fantasy Pros, click here.